!-- 5c9b240569006105cf9c8b581cd6b6d65c851ba8 -->
close
Gambling

Why Contrarian Sports Investing Is Successful

As a result of this game, I was inspired to write this piece.

This is an excellent example of “contrarian investment” (in any market) in action. — “in the thick of things.” Indianapolis Colts quarterback Peyton Manning was backed by around three wagers out of every seven. It was even more “lopsided” earlier in the day, with a stunning 91% of gamblers backing the Colts. As a result of the constant assault on the Colts, the line started at Colts -2 (at CRIS), but it rose to Colts -3.5 at other “public bookies” (and even Colts -4). Initially, this game seemed to be completely out of place.

With Indy looming, how could Tennessee, in last position, hope to compete? Before Thursday night’s game, the Titans had lost five games in a row, and they had only scored one point. Checkout 90bola. Fans of sports, and especially those who wager on them, were salivating over this contest, wondering:

Having a competitive game is unnecessary. This should be a slam dunk. In a single game, Peyton Manning, a future Hall of Fame quarterback, has thrown for four touchdowns.

Manning had a couple of bad weeks, but he’ll be back to his old self in no time. Indianapolis made it to the Super Bowl last year (and has now been to two of the past four).

Tennessee is bottom in the SEC and has dropped its previous five games. “The route less travelled” and “betting against the public” were two phrases used often by members of SportsInsights.

NFL Square Play has selected the Tennessee Titans.

That’s when… The Colts had a 21-0 lead at that point, and it seemed as though the Titans were in for a long night. The Titans, on the other hand, rallied and kept the game close. Although the Titans were not threatening to win the game, their late score provided them a ‘backdoor’ cover ‘against the spread’ in the final minutes of the game (ATS). Contrarian sports investors were able to eke out a narrow ATS win as a result of this.

How can “David” defeat “Goliath” in the storey of the Hebrew Bible? Points Count!

Value sports investors understand that this is a business of statistics and profit margins, unlike the Indianapolis bettors who wonder how “that one got away.” The SportsInsights staff often talks about “point spreads as a wonderful equalizer” in articles and blog posts. Here are a few of my ideas:

The “favourite” often destroys the “underdog.” Click here to read the relevant blog entry. “… Truth be told: if we played this game 100 times, we’d definitely see 30 blowout victory for the team,” one of SportsInsights experts said (favorite). Still, “They’ve got a lot of firepower.” That Monday Night Football matchup between New England and Miami was a lopsided bet, with New England winning by a score of 41-14. Checkout 90bola to know about it.

The expert, on the other hand, said in the same blog post that this underdog would cover “against the spread” around 55% of the time.

However, this method is a “genuine advantage” that does not work all the time. Even though it can be quantified and generates income, profit margins tend to be small.

“How and why does contrarian investment work?” is a frequently asked question.

Despite the fact that most markets are very efficient, public perceptions may sometimes drive price out of line with actual value because of the real money at play.

Public views and betting syndicates have a significant influence on the odds in sports betting.

There is a lot of efficiency in the sports industry. Consider the aforementioned Colts-Titans matchup. Titans +2 was the opening line, and that’s precisely where the game finished! However, due to the relentless hammering of bets on the Colts, the Titans +3.5 line was established. Those who “bet against the public” have an advantage over those who “bet with the public,” according to this little piece of information that enabled contrarian sports investors come out on top.

Adam Svog

The author Adam Svog